Spain Predicted to Overtake France as World’s Most Visited Country by 2040

A study by Deloitte and Google predicts that Spain will surpass France as the world's most visited country by 2040. The report, highlighted by Time Out Lisboa, points to a significant shift in global tourism trends over the next decade and a half.

What happened

According to the study, Spain is set to overtake France as the leading tourist destination worldwide by 2040. France has long held the top position, but the new forecast indicates that changing travel patterns and growing appeal of Spain will drive this transition. The prediction comes from a joint report by consulting firm Deloitte and tech giant Google, as reported by Time Out Lisboa on August 28, 2026.

Why it matters for international residents

For international residents in Portugal, this news is relevant due to the close geographic and economic ties within the Iberian Peninsula. While the study focuses on Spain and France, shifts in regional tourism flows can indirectly affect neighbouring countries like Portugal. Increased tourist numbers in Spain may lead to spillover effects, such as higher demand for travel connections and shared infrastructure, or even influence tourism patterns across the region. However, the report does not detail direct impacts on Portugal, so residents should watch for further analyses.

What to do next

Residents and travellers should keep an eye on official tourism statistics and follow updates from sources like Time Out Lisboa and the study's authors, Deloitte and Google, for more detailed insights. While no immediate action is required, staying informed about regional tourism trends can help with travel planning and understanding broader economic developments in the area.

Sources

- Time Out Lisboa: França deverá ser ultrapassada como o país mais visitado do mundo até 2040